Александер, в качестве ответа я приведу цитату из статьи в psmag, на которую есть ссылка в посте:
OK, you might ask, but what about nuclear weapons? Given that nuclear war would result in mass devastation on both sides of a major conflict (as well as in much of the rest of the world), isn’t large-scale war now unthinkable? Clauset doesn’t see anything in the data to support that widely held belief.
“The presence of nuclear weapons in the post-war period has evidently not changed either the onset rate of new wars, or the size distribution of the interstate wars that do happen,” he says. “Over the past 200 years, there have been enormous other changes in the world, both socially, technologically, and geopolitically, and my analysis shows that these have evidently not had a substantial impact on the statistics of interstate wars.”